The Global Financial Crisis and Equity Markets in Middle East Oil Exporting Countries
The Global Financial Crisis and Equity Markets in Middle East Oil Exporting Countries
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Date
2011
Authors
Onour, Ibrahim Ahmed
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
University of Khartoum
Abstract
This paper employs extreme downside risk measures to estimate the impact of
the global financial crisis in 2008/2009 on equity markets in major oil producing
Middle East countries. The results in the paper indicate the spillover effect of the
global crisis varied from a country to another, but most hardly affected market
among the group of six markets was Dubai financial market in which portfolio
loss reached about 42 per cent. This indicates that Dubai debt crisis, which
emerged on surface in 2009, exacerbated the impact of the global financial crisis
and prolonged the recovery process in these markets.
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Keywords
Value at risk, Fat-tails distribution; Expected Shortfall; Extreme losses. JEL classification: G3, F4, F3