Economic Dilemma of Forestry in Sudan

Abstract

This thesis investigates the variables that can influence the GDP of forestry sector in the Sudan during the period (1975-2000). The thesis depended on official secondary data in order to run regression analysis that establishes the existence of a positive relationship between the two sides of the identity. Accordingly, a separate regression relationship for GDP and each of the right hand side was tested. Similarly the total consumption was regressed against several of its individual consitituents, one at a time to establish any sort of relationship as was hypothesize as a priori assumption. In the same manner other independent variables were taken as dependent variables and regressed against its own independent variables. However, the regression analysis showed significant results of the two independent variables included in the models viz-total consumption of forest and export of forest products. Also, data were analyzed using growth rates procedure wood data indicated an increase for some commodities, ex an increase from 12,04 million cubic meters to in 1962 to (23.68) million cubic meters in (1975) with annual growth rates of 6.4% for fire wood this product dropped for 23.68 in (1980) to 18.00 million CU,m in (1985) affected by drought period with negative growth rate 3.9% during (1985-2000). The study concluded that reliable data about such processes in different parts of the country and to take them in consideration when estimating the GDP forestry in Sudan.