دراســــة قياسية لأثر العلاقة بين الصادرات غير البترولية والنمو الاقتصادي في السودان 1960- 2005

No Thumbnail Available
Date
2015-06-17
Authors
ماجدة محمد الحسين, الصديق
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
UOFK
Abstract
This study aims at studying the relationship between the non-petroleum exports and economic growth for the period from (1960-2005). Through testing a number of econometric models. The study attempts to investigate the deterioration of the non-petroleum exports during the staid period. The importance of the study stems from the fact that an effort is needed to identify the role of the export sector in achieving a high level of growth through the development of this sector. The methodology followed is of descriptive, analytical and historical nature focusing on the performance of the non-petroleum export sector and its influence on the macroeconomic indicators. Thus, a number of econometric models are tested and simple regression linear model is chosen to explain the relation between two variables. Unit root analysis is carried out to check the stationary of the time series. The data used is of secondary nature. It is mainly collected from internal and external sources. The study concludes that its necessary for the Sudan to diversify is export particularly the manufactured products and the formulation of strategy for both the agricultural and industrial sector. The results show that the agricultural sector is one of the important sectors despite its reduced and contribution in the Gross Domestic Product only about 36%. The positive effect of the export sector on the Gross Domestic Product in the long – run assure the validity of the hypothesis that growth can be approached through export in addition to the other factors. Based on the obtained result a number of recommendations are suggested. The most important of all is the necessity of the development of the productive sectors, the establishment of industries to meet the needs of the domestic market. Moreover, establishment of a national corporation for non-petroleum exports to be headed by a high- ranking official under the designation of the general manager of the non-petroleum export.
Description
Keywords
دراســــة قياسية لأثر العلاقة بين الصادرات غير البترولية والنمو الاقتصادي في السودان 1960- 2005
Citation
Collections